WTI Futures x3 Leveraged USD Index Sees Potential Upswing

Outlook: WTI Futures x3 Leveraged USD index is assigned short-term B3 & long-term B2 estimated rating.
AUC Score : What is AUC Score?
Short-term Tactic1 :
Dominant Strategy :
Time series to forecast n: for Weeks2
ML Model Testing : Transfer Learning (ML)
Hypothesis Testing : Multiple Regression
Surveillance : Major exchange and OTC

1Short-term revised.

2Time series is updated based on short-term trends.


Key Points

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About WTI Futures x3 Leveraged USD Index

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WTI Futures x3 Leveraged USD
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ML Model Testing

F(Multiple Regression)6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Transfer Learning (ML))3,4,5 X S(n):→ 6 Month e x rx

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of WTI Futures x3 Leveraged USD index

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move of WTI Futures x3 Leveraged USD index holders

a:Best response for WTI Futures x3 Leveraged USD target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do KappaSignal algorithms actually work?

WTI Futures x3 Leveraged USD Index Forecast Strategic Interaction Table

Strategic Interaction Table Legend:

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%

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Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
OutlookB3B2
Income StatementCC
Balance SheetBaa2B2
Leverage RatiosCB2
Cash FlowBa3B2
Rates of Return and ProfitabilityCB3

*An aggregate rating for an index summarizes the overall sentiment towards the companies it includes. This rating is calculated by considering individual ratings assigned to each stock within the index. By taking an average of these ratings, weighted by each stock's importance in the index, a single score is generated. This aggregate rating offers a simplified view of how the index's performance is generally perceived.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?

References

  1. Chernozhukov V, Newey W, Robins J. 2018c. Double/de-biased machine learning using regularized Riesz representers. arXiv:1802.08667 [stat.ML]
  2. Jorgenson, D.W., Weitzman, M.L., ZXhang, Y.X., Haxo, Y.M. and Mat, Y.X., 2023. Apple's Stock Price: How News Affects Volatility. AC Investment Research Journal, 220(44).
  3. R. Sutton, D. McAllester, S. Singh, and Y. Mansour. Policy gradient methods for reinforcement learning with function approximation. In Proceedings of Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 12, pages 1057–1063, 2000
  4. Bottomley, P. R. Fildes (1998), "The role of prices in models of innovation diffusion," Journal of Forecasting, 17, 539–555.
  5. Barkan O. 2016. Bayesian neural word embedding. arXiv:1603.06571 [math.ST]
  6. Chernozhukov V, Chetverikov D, Demirer M, Duflo E, Hansen C, et al. 2016a. Double machine learning for treatment and causal parameters. Tech. Rep., Cent. Microdata Methods Pract., Inst. Fiscal Stud., London
  7. Jorgenson, D.W., Weitzman, M.L., ZXhang, Y.X., Haxo, Y.M. and Mat, Y.X., 2023. Apple's Stock Price: How News Affects Volatility. AC Investment Research Journal, 220(44).

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