PBPB Stock Forecast

Outlook: PBPB is assigned short-term B3 & long-term B1 estimated rating.
AUC Score : What is AUC Score?
Short-term Tactic¹ :
Dominant Strategy :
Time series to forecast n: for Weeks²
ML Model Testing : Modular Neural Network (Emotional Trigger/Responses Analysis)
Hypothesis Testing : Paired T-Test
Surveillance : Major exchange and OTC

¹Short-term revised.

²Time series is updated based on short-term trends.

Key Points

Potbelly (PBPB) faces a mixed outlook. Predictions suggest potential revenue growth driven by new store openings and improved same-store sales. However, significant risks exist including increasing competition in the fast-casual dining sector, which could pressure margins, and uncertainty surrounding consumer discretionary spending due to macroeconomic factors. Furthermore, the company's ability to effectively manage its supply chain costs and labor expenses will be crucial, as disruptions in either area could negatively impact profitability and stock performance.

About PBPB

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ML Model Testing

F(Paired T-Test)^6,7= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& p_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & p_{1n}\\ & ⋮\\ p_{j1}& p_{j2}& \dots & p_{jn}\\ & ⋮\\ p_{k1}& p_{k2}& \dots & p_{kn}\\ & ⋮\\ p_{n1}& p_{n2}& \dots & p_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Modular Neural Network (Emotional Trigger/Responses Analysis))^3,4,5 X S(n):→ 16 Weeks $\sum _{i=1}^n\left(r_i\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of PBPB stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move of PBPB stock holders

a:Best response for PBPB target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do KappaSignal algorithms actually work?

PBPB Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) Strategic Interaction Table

Strategic Interaction Table Legend:

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%

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Rating	Short-Term	Long-Term Senior
Outlook	B3	B1
Income Statement	B1	B3
Balance Sheet	Caa2	Ba3
Leverage Ratios	Caa2	B2
Cash Flow	B2	Caa2
Rates of Return and Profitability	B2	Baa2

*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?

References

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4. Jorgenson, D.W., Weitzman, M.L., ZXhang, Y.X., Haxo, Y.M. and Mat, Y.X., 2023. Tesla Stock: Hold for Now, But Watch for Opportunities. AC Investment Research Journal, 220(44).
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