aTyr Pharma (ATYR) Stock Outlook Shifting Amid Clinical Data

Outlook: ATYR is assigned short-term Baa2 & long-term B1 estimated rating.
AUC Score : What is AUC Score?
Short-term Tactic¹ :
Dominant Strategy :
Time series to forecast n: for Weeks²
ML Model Testing : Ensemble Learning (ML)
Hypothesis Testing : Logistic Regression
Surveillance : Major exchange and OTC

¹Short-term revised.

²Time series is updated based on short-term trends.

Key Points

This exclusive content is only available to premium users.

About ATYR

This exclusive content is only available to premium users.

This exclusive content is only available to premium users.

ML Model Testing

F(Logistic Regression)^6,7= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& p_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & p_{1n}\\ & ⋮\\ p_{j1}& p_{j2}& \dots & p_{jn}\\ & ⋮\\ p_{k1}& p_{k2}& \dots & p_{kn}\\ & ⋮\\ p_{n1}& p_{n2}& \dots & p_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Ensemble Learning (ML))^3,4,5 X S(n):→ 6 Month $R=\left(\begin{array}{ccc}1& 0& 0\\ 0& 1& 0\\ 0& 0& 1\end{array}\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of ATYR stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move of ATYR stock holders

a:Best response for ATYR target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do KappaSignal algorithms actually work?

ATYR Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) Strategic Interaction Table

Strategic Interaction Table Legend:

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%

This exclusive content is only available to premium users.

Rating	Short-Term	Long-Term Senior
Outlook	Baa2	B1
Income Statement	Baa2	Caa2
Balance Sheet	B1	Ba3
Leverage Ratios	Baa2	B3
Cash Flow	Baa2	Ba3
Rates of Return and Profitability	Ba3	Ba1

*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?

References

1. A. Shapiro, W. Tekaya, J. da Costa, and M. Soares. Risk neutral and risk averse stochastic dual dynamic programming method. European journal of operational research, 224(2):375–391, 2013
2. Kallus N. 2017. Balanced policy evaluation and learning. arXiv:1705.07384 [stat.ML]
3. Sutton RS, Barto AG. 1998. Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press
4. Li L, Chu W, Langford J, Moon T, Wang X. 2012. An unbiased offline evaluation of contextual bandit algo- rithms with generalized linear models. In Proceedings of 4th ACM International Conference on Web Search and Data Mining, pp. 297–306. New York: ACM
5. D. White. Mean, variance, and probabilistic criteria in finite Markov decision processes: A review. Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, 56(1):1–29, 1988.
6. Van der Vaart AW. 2000. Asymptotic Statistics. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge Univ. Press
7. Morris CN. 1983. Parametric empirical Bayes inference: theory and applications. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 78:47–55