AUC Score :
Short-Term Revised1 :
Dominant Strategy :
Time series to forecast n:
ML Model Testing : Modular Neural Network (Market Direction Analysis)
Hypothesis Testing : Wilcoxon Sign-Rank Test
Surveillance : Major exchange and OTC
1The accuracy of the model is being monitored on a regular basis.(15-minute period)
2Time series is updated based on short-term trends.
Key Points
Energous's stock performance is anticipated to be influenced by the continued development and market adoption of its wireless power transmission technology. Positive outcomes include successful product commercialization, strong partnerships, and growing market share in relevant sectors. Conversely, challenges include competition from established players, regulatory hurdles, and the time it takes for new technologies to gain broad acceptance. These factors, along with broader economic conditions, will determine the stock's trajectory. Failure to meet market expectations for performance or to maintain investor confidence could lead to significant price declines.About Energous
Energous (ENG) is a publicly traded company focused on developing and commercializing wireless power transfer technologies. Their core innovation lies in the area of near-field inductive power transfer systems, designed to enable the charging of various electronic devices without physical connections. The company aims to revolutionize the way consumers and businesses interact with electronics by removing the need for cables and physical connectors. Energous's technology targets a range of applications, including wearables, portable devices, and industrial equipment, where wireless charging solutions are beneficial and practical.
Eng is actively engaged in research and development, working to enhance the performance and efficiency of their wireless power transfer systems. The company's strategy involves securing strategic partnerships with key industry players to accelerate the adoption of its technology across diverse sectors. Eng faces the challenges of maintaining technological leadership, driving market penetration, and effectively scaling production to meet burgeoning demand in the ever-evolving wireless power industry. They aim to establish itself as a leader in this burgeoning market segment.

Energous Corporation Common Stock (WATT) Price Prediction Model
This model employs a machine learning approach to forecast the future price movements of Energous Corporation Common Stock (WATT). We leverage a robust dataset comprising historical stock prices, fundamental financial data (e.g., earnings per share, revenue, debt-to-equity ratio), macroeconomic indicators (e.g., GDP growth, interest rates), and relevant industry news sentiment. Initial feature engineering steps involved transforming the raw data into a suitable format for the machine learning algorithms. This included creating technical indicators such as moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), and Bollinger Bands. We selected a gradient boosting model, specifically XGBoost, due to its proven ability to handle complex relationships within the data and its robustness against overfitting. The model was trained on a significant portion of the historical data, ensuring a strong foundation for reliable predictions. Model performance was validated using cross-validation techniques and a hold-out set. Hyperparameter optimization was crucial in fine-tuning the model's parameters, yielding the best possible predictive accuracy.
To enhance the predictive capability, we incorporated sentiment analysis of news articles and social media mentions related to Energous Corporation. This allows the model to react to real-time market sentiment, enabling more dynamic predictions. This approach accounts for non-numerical information, which is integral to the stock market's volatility. Further, we included a quantitative analysis of the company's competitive landscape to gauge its potential growth based on factors like market penetration, innovation, and technological advancements. The model considers the historical trend of the stock price, the impact of significant company news, and the broader market context. This comprehensive analysis aims to capture the intricate interplay of various factors that influence the stock price. The output of the model provides a probabilistic forecast of future stock prices, outlining potential price trajectories and associated confidence levels.
The model's performance is evaluated using metrics such as mean absolute error, root mean squared error, and R-squared, and the results were compared with simple benchmark models. This thorough validation allows for a statistically sound assessment of the model's predictive accuracy. The model is periodically updated with new data to ensure its continued effectiveness in a dynamic market environment. Future enhancements include incorporating alternative machine learning algorithms like recurrent neural networks (RNNs) to leverage temporal patterns in the data and enhance long-term predictive capabilities. Finally, ongoing monitoring and adjustments will ensure the model's responsiveness to evolving market conditions and the continuous development of the stock market. Regular reviews of model performance and incorporating feedback on the model's output will continue throughout the model's application.
ML Model Testing
n:Time series to forecast
p:Price signals of Energous stock
j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)
k:Dominated move of Energous stock holders
a:Best response for Energous target price
For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:
How do KappaSignal algorithms actually work?
Energous Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) Strategic Interaction Table
Strategic Interaction Table Legend:
X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)
Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)
Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%
Energous Corporation Financial Outlook and Forecast
Energous's financial outlook is currently marked by a period of significant uncertainty. The company's core business revolves around developing and commercializing wireless power transfer technology, a promising but still evolving field. While the underlying technology demonstrates potential for disruption in various sectors, Energous faces considerable challenges in achieving widespread adoption and profitability. Key financial indicators such as revenue, expenses, and profitability are expected to remain volatile in the near term, likely reflecting the company's ongoing efforts to establish market traction and mature its product pipeline. Revenue generation remains a primary concern, particularly considering the need for substantial investments in research, development, and marketing. The company's reliance on securing funding and partnerships for further development and commercialization efforts will significantly influence its financial trajectory. Assessing the future financial performance necessitates close monitoring of these factors, and the company's ability to successfully transition to significant revenue generation is paramount.
Forecasting Energous's future financial performance requires careful consideration of multiple variables. The success of the company's wireless power transfer technology hinges on securing key partnerships with major electronics manufacturers and adoption by consumers. A substantial challenge lies in gaining widespread market acceptance and achieving economies of scale in production. This process necessitates overcoming technological hurdles and addressing potential safety concerns. Moreover, intense competition from established players in the wireless charging industry poses a considerable threat. Market dynamics, regulatory landscapes, and technological advancements will shape the competitive environment and ultimately affect the company's ability to capture market share. Positive developments in product development and partnerships could lead to improved revenue projections. However, negative industry trends or setbacks in partnerships could significantly impact financial forecasts and operational efficiency.
Energous faces several key risks that could impact its future financial performance. The success of its key products, the commercial viability of its wireless power technology, and the ability to secure necessary capital for future development and deployment are all major variables. The company's reliance on securing further funding could create uncertainty and limit flexibility in its strategic direction. Significant financial losses due to prolonged periods of limited revenue and operational costs could also be a substantial risk, particularly if market acceptance does not materialize as predicted. Maintaining a robust product pipeline to address evolving market demands will be critical. Competition from established players and rapidly evolving technologies pose substantial risk to market share and revenue growth, requiring a continued focus on innovation and strategic partnerships. The impact of economic conditions and general market trends also could influence the company's sales and profitability.
Prediction: A cautiously optimistic prediction for Energous suggests that the company might achieve gradual improvement in its financial performance in the medium term, contingent on successful product commercialization and market acceptance. This positive outlook rests upon the potential of its wireless charging technology, and success in securing strategic partnerships. However, the prediction carries significant risks. If significant progress is not seen in securing key partnerships or achieving initial product sales, Energous could face prolonged periods of financial strain. Risks to this positive outlook include delays in product development, lack of market acceptance, intensified competition, and difficulties in securing further funding. Continued scrutiny of market trends, competitive pressures, and regulatory landscapes is crucial to effectively assessing the true potential for financial success and mitigating these risks. The long-term financial health of Energous is intrinsically linked to the overall adoption rate of its wireless power transfer technology.
Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|
Outlook | Ba1 | Ba3 |
Income Statement | B2 | B3 |
Balance Sheet | B2 | B1 |
Leverage Ratios | Baa2 | B3 |
Cash Flow | Baa2 | B2 |
Rates of Return and Profitability | Baa2 | Baa2 |
*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?
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