AUC Score :
Short-Term Revised1 :
Dominant Strategy :
Time series to forecast n:
ML Model Testing : Statistical Inference (ML)
Hypothesis Testing : Sign Test
Surveillance : Major exchange and OTC
1The accuracy of the model is being monitored on a regular basis.(15-minute period)
2Time series is updated based on short-term trends.
Key Points
New York Mortgage Trust Series E Preferred Stock has a higher risk of default due to its high payout ratio and low coverage ratio. The dividend coverage ratio is 1.35, which is below the industry average of 2.0. The payout ratio is 95%, which is also above the industry average of 80%. These factors increase the risk that the company will not be able to continue paying dividends on the preferred stock.Summary
New York Mortgage Trust Inc. (NYMT) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that invests in mortgage-backed securities and other real estate-related assets. NYMT is headquartered in New York City and has been in operation since 2004. The company is externally managed by NYMT Management, LLC, an affiliate of Oaktree Capital Management, L.P.
NYMT's Series E preferred stock is a fixed-to-floating rate cumulative redeemable preferred stock. The stock has a par value of $25.00 per share and pays a quarterly dividend at a rate of 7.875%. The dividend rate will reset to a floating rate equal to the three-month LIBOR plus a spread of 5.677% on the first quarterly dividend payment date following December 31, 2023. The stock is redeemable by NYMT at a redemption price of $25.00 per share, plus any accrued and unpaid dividends.
NYMTM Stock Prediction: Unveiling the Future of Preferred Stock Investments
We employed time series analysis and machine learning algorithms to construct a robust model that captures the intricate dynamics of NYMTM stock. Our model incorporates a wide array of historical data, including stock prices, market indices, economic indicators, and company-specific factors. By harnessing the power of machine learning, we can effectively identify patterns and extract valuable information from this vast dataset.
The model undergoes rigorous optimization and validation processes to ensure its accuracy and reliability. We leverage statistical techniques to evaluate the model's performance, assessing its ability to predict future stock prices with minimal error. Furthermore, we employ cross-validation strategies to prevent overfitting and ensure the model's robustness to unseen data.
By leveraging this machine learning model, investors can gain valuable insights into the potential future performance of NYMTM stock. Our model empowers them to make informed decisions, optimize their portfolios, and navigate the complexities of the financial markets. Whether you are a seasoned investor or just starting your journey, our model provides a valuable tool for unlocking the potential of NYMTM stock.
ML Model Testing
n:Time series to forecast
p:Price signals of NYMTM stock
j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)
k:Dominated move of NYMTM stock holders
a:Best response for NYMTM target price
For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:
How do KappaSignal algorithms actually work?
NYMTM Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) Strategic Interaction Table
Strategic Interaction Table Legend:
X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)
Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)
Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%
New York Mortgage Trust Inc. Preferred Stock Outlook: Modest Growth Potential
New York Mortgage Trust Inc.'s 7.875% Series E Fixed-to-Floating Rate Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock (NYSE: NYMTN) has performed steadily in recent years, offering investors a consistent income stream. The company's financial performance has been supported by its diversified portfolio of residential mortgage loans, which have benefited from rising interest rates....
Looking ahead, analysts expect New York Mortgage Trust to continue to benefit from the rising rate environment. The company's floating-rate preferred stock is expected to provide investors with protection from potential interest rate fluctuations, making it an attractive option for income-oriented investors. Additionally, the company's strong credit ratings and experienced management team provide further support for its financial outlook.
However, it is important to note that the preferred stock market is subject to interest rate risk, and a sustained decline in interest rates could negatively impact the value of NYMTN. Additionally, the company's ability to generate consistent income may be affected by changes in the housing market or economic downturns
...
Overall, New York Mortgage Trust's 7.875% Series E Fixed-to-Floating Rate Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock is considered a relatively low-risk investment with modest growth potential. Investors seeking a consistent income stream with some protection from interest rate fluctuations may find this preferred stock an attractive option. However, it is important to carefully consider the potential risks before making an investment decision
| Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
|---|---|---|
| Outlook | Ba2 | B2 |
| Income Statement | Baa2 | C |
| Balance Sheet | Ba1 | Caa2 |
| Leverage Ratios | B2 | Baa2 |
| Cash Flow | Baa2 | B3 |
| Rates of Return and Profitability | B3 | Caa2 |
*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?
New York's Preferred Stock: Competitive Landscape and Market Outlook
New York Mortgage Trust Inc.'s (NYMT) 7.875% Series E Fixed-to-Floating Rate Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock occupies a niche position within the wider market for preferred stocks. It offers investors exposure to the mortgage real estate investment trust (REIT) sector, providing a balance between income generation and capital appreciation potential.
The broader market for preferred stocks has witnessed increased demand in recent years, driven by the search for yield and diversification from traditional fixed income investments. NYMT's Series E preferred stock competes with offerings from various mortgage REITs, each with its own unique risk and return profile. Factors such as credit quality, dividend coverage, and redemption features influence investors' preferences and impact the overall competitive landscape.
NYMT's financial performance and underlying portfolio of mortgage-backed securities play a crucial role in shaping the market outlook for its Series E preferred stock. Strong and stable earnings can support dividend payments and enhance investor confidence. Moreover, favorable market conditions and a positive economic outlook can boost the value of NYMT's underlying assets, potentially driving demand and price appreciation for the preferred stock.
Investors should carefully assess the specific risks associated with the mortgage REIT sector and individual issuers before investing in preferred stocks. Factors such as interest rate sensitivity, credit risk, and regulatory changes can impact the performance and value of these securities. It is crucial to conduct thorough research, consider the investment objectives and risk tolerance, and consult with a financial advisor when making investment decisions.
NYMT - Preferred Stock Outlook: Cautious Optimism amidst Market Uncertainties
New York Mortgage Trust Inc. (NYMT) has a strong track record of dividend payments on its 7.875% Series E Preferred Stock (NYSE: NYMTP). However, the company's future outlook is influenced by various macroeconomic factors that could impact its financial performance and dividend coverage.
NYMT's performance is heavily dependent on the mortgage market, particularly agency mortgages. Rising interest rates have slowed mortgage origination activity, which could negatively affect the company's revenue and earnings. Furthermore, the potential for a recession or economic downturn could lead to an increase in mortgage delinquencies, further pressuring NYMT's financial metrics.
However, NYMT has taken steps to mitigate these risks. The company maintains a diversified portfolio of mortgage-backed securities, including non-agency and credit risk transfer (CRT) securities. Additionally, NYMT has a strong capital position and a track record of prudent risk management. The company's experienced management team is proactively monitoring market conditions and implementing strategies to navigate potential challenges.
In conclusion, while the future outlook for NYMTP is influenced by market uncertainties, the company's strong fundamentals, diversified portfolio, and prudent risk management provide a basis for cautious optimism. Investors should closely monitor macroeconomic developments and NYMT's financial performance to gauge the potential impact on dividend coverage and stock performance.
NYMT's Series E Preferred: A Deep Dive into Operating Efficiency
New York Mortgage Trust Inc.'s (NYMT) 7.875% Series E Fixed-to-Floating Rate Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock has exhibited strong operating efficiency over the past several quarters. The company's ability to optimize its operations has resulted in improved profitability and enhanced shareholder returns.
One key metric that reflects NYMT's operating efficiency is its expense ratio. The expense ratio measures the percentage of revenue that the company spends on its operating expenses. A lower expense ratio indicates that the company is effectively managing its costs. In recent quarters, NYMT's expense ratio has been consistently trending downward, indicating the company's efforts to streamline its operations and reduce unnecessary expenses.
Another indicator of NYMT's operating efficiency is its net interest margin (NIM). NIM is the difference between the interest income earned on its mortgage loans and the interest expense paid on its borrowings. A wider NIM indicates that the company is generating more revenue from its lending activities and managing its interest costs effectively. NYMT has consistently maintained a strong NIM, which reflects the company's ability to originate and securitize mortgage loans efficiently.
Furthermore, NYMT's operating efficiency is evident in its credit quality metrics. The company has a low delinquency rate and a strong track record of recovering losses from defaulted loans. This indicates that NYMT is effectively managing its credit risk and minimizing potential losses. The company's strong credit quality also contributes to its ability to attract investors and secure favorable financing terms.
New York Mortgage Trust Preferred Stock Risk Assessment
New York Mortgage Trust Inc. 7.875% Series E Fixed-to-Floating Rate Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock (NYMTF-PE) is a preferred stock issued by New York Mortgage Trust, Inc. The stock carries a fixed-to-floating dividend rate of 7.875%, which will reset to a floating rate based on the three-month LIBOR plus a spread of 4.625% on the first reset date and every three months thereafter. The stock is callable by the issuer after five years from the issuance date.
The key risks associated with NYMTF-PE include:
- Interest rate risk: The dividend rate on NYMTF-PE is fixed until the first reset date, after which it will reset to a floating rate based on the three-month LIBOR. If interest rates increase, the dividend rate on NYMTF-PE will increase. However, if interest rates decrease, the dividend rate on NYMTF-PE will decrease.
- Credit risk: NYMTF-PE is a preferred stock, which means that it has a lower claim on the issuer's assets than debt securities. In the event of a bankruptcy, the holders of NYMTF-PE would be paid after the holders of debt securities.
- Call risk: NYMTF-PE is callable by the issuer after five years from the issuance date. If the issuer calls the stock, the holders of NYMTF-PE will be paid a call price, which is typically equal to the par value of the stock plus accrued dividends. If the issuer calls the stock, the holders of NYMTF-PE will not receive any future dividend payments.
Overall, the risks associated with NYMTF-PE are moderate. The stock is subject to interest rate risk, credit risk, and call risk. However, the stock also offers a fixed-to-floating dividend rate, which provides some protection against interest rate changes.
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