AUC Score :
Short-Term Revised1 :
Dominant Strategy : Buy
Time series to forecast n:
Methodology : Multi-Task Learning (ML)
Hypothesis Testing : Linear Regression
Surveillance : Major exchange and OTC
1The accuracy of the model is being monitored on a regular basis.(15-minute period)
2Time series is updated based on short-term trends.
Summary
The Marygold Companies Inc. Common Stock prediction model is evaluated with Multi-Task Learning (ML) and Linear Regression1,2,3,4 and it is concluded that the MGLD stock is predictable in the short/long term. Multi-task learning (MTL) is a machine learning (ML) method in which multiple related tasks are learned simultaneously. This can be done by sharing features and weights between the tasks. MTL has been shown to improve the performance of each task, compared to learning each task independently.5 According to price forecasts for 4 Weeks period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Buy
Key Points
- Multi-Task Learning (ML) for MGLD stock price prediction process.
- Linear Regression
- What are the most successful trading algorithms?
- Trading Interaction
- What is Markov decision process in reinforcement learning?
MGLD Stock Price Forecast
We consider The Marygold Companies Inc. Common Stock Decision Process with Multi-Task Learning (ML) where A is the set of discrete actions of MGLD stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4
Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: MGLD The Marygold Companies Inc. Common Stock
Time series to forecast: 4 Weeks
According to price forecasts, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Buy
n:Time series to forecast
p:Price signals of MGLD stock
j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)
k:Dominated move of MGLD stock holders
a:Best response for MGLD target price
Multi-task learning (MTL) is a machine learning (ML) method in which multiple related tasks are learned simultaneously. This can be done by sharing features and weights between the tasks. MTL has been shown to improve the performance of each task, compared to learning each task independently.5 In statistics, linear regression is a method for estimating the relationship between a dependent variable and one or more independent variables. The dependent variable is the variable that is being predicted, and the independent variables are the variables that are used to predict the dependent variable. Linear regression assumes that the relationship between the dependent variable and the independent variables is linear. This means that the dependent variable can be represented as a straight line function of the independent variables.6,7
For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:
MGLD Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) Strategic Interaction Table
Strategic Interaction Table Legend:
X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)
Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)
Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%
Financial Data Adjustments for Multi-Task Learning (ML) based MGLD Stock Prediction Model
- If a variable-rate financial liability bears interest of (for example) three-month LIBOR minus 20 basis points (with a floor at zero basis points), an entity can designate as the hedged item the change in the cash flows of that entire liability (ie three-month LIBOR minus 20 basis points—including the floor) that is attributable to changes in LIBOR. Hence, as long as the three-month LIBOR forward curve for the remaining life of that liability does not fall below 20 basis points, the hedged item has the same cash flow variability as a liability that bears interest at three-month LIBOR with a zero or positive spread. However, if the three-month LIBOR forward curve for the remaining life of that liability (or a part of it) falls below 20 basis points, the hedged item has a lower cash flow variability than a liability that bears interest at threemonth LIBOR with a zero or positive spread.
- For the purpose of applying paragraph 6.5.11, at the point when an entity amends the description of a hedged item as required in paragraph 6.9.1(b), the amount accumulated in the cash flow hedge reserve shall be deemed to be based on the alternative benchmark rate on which the hedged future cash flows are determined.
- In accordance with paragraph 4.1.3(a), principal is the fair value of the financial asset at initial recognition. However that principal amount may change over the life of the financial asset (for example, if there are repayments of principal).
- The methods used to determine whether credit risk has increased significantly on a financial instrument since initial recognition should consider the characteristics of the financial instrument (or group of financial instruments) and the default patterns in the past for comparable financial instruments. Despite the requirement in paragraph 5.5.9, for financial instruments for which default patterns are not concentrated at a specific point during the expected life of the financial instrument, changes in the risk of a default occurring over the next 12 months may be a reasonable approximation of the changes in the lifetime risk of a default occurring. In such cases, an entity may use changes in the risk of a default occurring over the next 12 months to determine whether credit risk has increased significantly since initial recognition, unless circumstances indicate that a lifetime assessment is necessary
*International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) adjustment process involves reviewing the company's financial statements and identifying any differences between the company's current accounting practices and the requirements of the IFRS. If there are any such differences, neural network makes adjustments to financial statements to bring them into compliance with the IFRS.
MGLD The Marygold Companies Inc. Common Stock Financial Analysis*
| Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
|---|---|---|
| Outlook* | B2 | B3 |
| Income Statement | C | Baa2 |
| Balance Sheet | Baa2 | C |
| Leverage Ratios | Baa2 | C |
| Cash Flow | B3 | C |
| Rates of Return and Profitability | C | Caa2 |
*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?
References
- Alpaydin E. 2009. Introduction to Machine Learning. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press
- M. Benaim, J. Hofbauer, and S. Sorin. Stochastic approximations and differential inclusions, Part II: Appli- cations. Mathematics of Operations Research, 31(4):673–695, 2006
- uyer, S. Whiteson, B. Bakker, and N. A. Vlassis. Multiagent reinforcement learning for urban traffic control using coordination graphs. In Machine Learning and Knowledge Discovery in Databases, European Conference, ECML/PKDD 2008, Antwerp, Belgium, September 15-19, 2008, Proceedings, Part I, pages 656–671, 2008.
- Chernozhukov V, Newey W, Robins J. 2018c. Double/de-biased machine learning using regularized Riesz representers. arXiv:1802.08667 [stat.ML]
- Imbens GW, Lemieux T. 2008. Regression discontinuity designs: a guide to practice. J. Econom. 142:615–35
- Jorgenson, D.W., Weitzman, M.L., ZXhang, Y.X., Haxo, Y.M. and Mat, Y.X., 2023. Can Neural Networks Predict Stock Market?. AC Investment Research Journal, 220(44).
- Babula, R. A. (1988), "Contemporaneous correlation and modeling Canada's imports of U.S. crops," Journal of Agricultural Economics Research, 41, 33–38.
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: Is MGLD stock expected to rise?A: MGLD stock prediction model is evaluated with Multi-Task Learning (ML) and Linear Regression and it is concluded that dominant strategy for MGLD stock is Buy
Q: Is MGLD stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy MGLD Stock.
Q: Is The Marygold Companies Inc. Common Stock stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for The Marygold Companies Inc. Common Stock is Buy and is assigned short-term B2 & long-term B3 estimated rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of MGLD stock?
A: The consensus rating for MGLD is Buy.
Q: What is the forecast for MGLD stock?
A: MGLD target price forecast: Buy