AUC Score :
Short-Term Revised1 :
Dominant Strategy : Sell
Time series to forecast n:
Methodology : Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis)
Hypothesis Testing : ElasticNet Regression
Surveillance : Major exchange and OTC
1The accuracy of the model is being monitored on a regular basis.(15-minute period)
2Time series is updated based on short-term trends.
Summary
Encore Wire Corporation Common Stock prediction model is evaluated with Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis) and ElasticNet Regression1,2,3,4 and it is concluded that the WIRE stock is predictable in the short/long term. Modular neural networks (MNNs) are a type of artificial neural network that can be used for market volatility analysis. MNNs are made up of multiple smaller neural networks, called modules. Each module is responsible for learning a specific task, such as identifying patterns in data or predicting future price movements. The modules are then combined to form a single neural network that can perform multiple tasks.In the context of market volatility analysis, MNNs can be used to identify patterns in market data that suggest that the market is becoming more or less volatile. This information can then be used to make predictions about future price movements.5 According to price forecasts for 16 Weeks period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Sell
Key Points
- Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis) for WIRE stock price prediction process.
- ElasticNet Regression
- What is the use of Markov decision process?
- Prediction Modeling
- What is a prediction confidence?
WIRE Stock Price Forecast
We consider Encore Wire Corporation Common Stock Decision Process with Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis) where A is the set of discrete actions of WIRE stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4
Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: WIRE Encore Wire Corporation Common Stock
Time series to forecast: 16 Weeks
According to price forecasts, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Sell
n:Time series to forecast
p:Price signals of WIRE stock
j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)
k:Dominated move of WIRE stock holders
a:Best response for WIRE target price
Modular neural networks (MNNs) are a type of artificial neural network that can be used for market volatility analysis. MNNs are made up of multiple smaller neural networks, called modules. Each module is responsible for learning a specific task, such as identifying patterns in data or predicting future price movements. The modules are then combined to form a single neural network that can perform multiple tasks.In the context of market volatility analysis, MNNs can be used to identify patterns in market data that suggest that the market is becoming more or less volatile. This information can then be used to make predictions about future price movements.5 Elastic net regression is a type of regression analysis that combines the benefits of ridge regression and lasso regression. It is a regularized regression method that adds a penalty to the least squares objective function in order to reduce the variance of the estimates, induce sparsity in the model, and reduce overfitting. This is done by adding a term to the objective function that is proportional to the sum of the squares of the coefficients and the sum of the absolute values of the coefficients. The penalty terms are controlled by two parameters, called the ridge constant and the lasso constant. Elastic net regression can be used to address the problems of multicollinearity, overfitting, and sensitivity to outliers. It is a more flexible method than ridge regression or lasso regression, and it can often achieve better results.6,7
For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:
WIRE Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) Strategic Interaction Table
Strategic Interaction Table Legend:
X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)
Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)
Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%
Financial Data Adjustments for Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis) based WIRE Stock Prediction Model
- An entity is not required to restate prior periods to reflect the application of these amendments. The entity may restate prior periods if, and only if, it is possible without the use of hindsight and the restated financial statements reflect all the requirements in this Standard. If an entity does not restate prior periods, the entity shall recognise any difference between the previous carrying amount and the carrying amount at the beginning of the annual reporting period that includes the date of initial application of these amendments in the opening retained earnings (or other component of equity, as appropriate) of the annual reporting period that includes the date of initial application of these amendments.
- An entity that first applies these amendments after it first applies this Standard shall apply paragraphs 7.2.32–7.2.34. The entity shall also apply the other transition requirements in this Standard necessary for applying these amendments. For that purpose, references to the date of initial application shall be read as referring to the beginning of the reporting period in which an entity first applies these amendments (date of initial application of these amendments).
- If an entity prepares interim financial reports in accordance with IAS 34 Interim Financial Reporting the entity need not apply the requirements in this Standard to interim periods prior to the date of initial application if it is impracticable (as defined in IAS 8).
- An entity shall apply the impairment requirements in Section 5.5 retrospectively in accordance with IAS 8 subject to paragraphs 7.2.15 and 7.2.18–7.2.20.
*International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) adjustment process involves reviewing the company's financial statements and identifying any differences between the company's current accounting practices and the requirements of the IFRS. If there are any such differences, neural network makes adjustments to financial statements to bring them into compliance with the IFRS.
WIRE Encore Wire Corporation Common Stock Financial Analysis*
Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|
Outlook* | B3 | Ba2 |
Income Statement | Ba3 | B3 |
Balance Sheet | Caa2 | Ba2 |
Leverage Ratios | C | B1 |
Cash Flow | C | Baa2 |
Rates of Return and Profitability | Ba3 | Baa2 |
*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?
References
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- Bastani H, Bayati M. 2015. Online decision-making with high-dimensional covariates. Work. Pap., Univ. Penn./ Stanford Grad. School Bus., Philadelphia/Stanford, CA
- Canova, F. B. E. Hansen (1995), "Are seasonal patterns constant over time? A test for seasonal stability," Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 13, 237–252.
- J. N. Foerster, Y. M. Assael, N. de Freitas, and S. Whiteson. Learning to communicate with deep multi-agent reinforcement learning. In Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 29: Annual Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems 2016, December 5-10, 2016, Barcelona, Spain, pages 2137–2145, 2016.
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: Is WIRE stock expected to rise?A: WIRE stock prediction model is evaluated with Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis) and ElasticNet Regression and it is concluded that dominant strategy for WIRE stock is Sell
Q: Is WIRE stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell WIRE Stock.
Q: Is Encore Wire Corporation Common Stock stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for Encore Wire Corporation Common Stock is Sell and is assigned short-term B3 & long-term Ba2 estimated rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of WIRE stock?
A: The consensus rating for WIRE is Sell.
Q: What is the forecast for WIRE stock?
A: WIRE target price forecast: Sell