When should you buy or sell a stock? (IFX.DE Stock Forecast)

Abstract

We evaluate Infineon Technologies prediction models with Modular Neural Network (DNN Layer) and Wilcoxon Sign-Rank Test^1,2,3,4 and conclude that the IFX.DE stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+3 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold IFX.DE stock.

Keywords: IFX.DE, Infineon Technologies, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.

Key Points

1. Trading Signals
2. Trust metric by Neural Network
3. Is it better to buy and sell or hold?

IFX.DE Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Infineon Technologies Stock Decision Process with Wilcoxon Sign-Rank Test where A is the set of discrete actions of IFX.DE stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^1,2,3,4

F(Wilcoxon Sign-Rank Test)^5,6,7= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& p_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & p_{1n}\\ & ⋮\\ p_{j1}& p_{j2}& \dots & p_{jn}\\ & ⋮\\ p_{k1}& p_{k2}& \dots & p_{kn}\\ & ⋮\\ p_{n1}& p_{n2}& \dots & p_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Modular Neural Network (DNN Layer)) X S(n):→ (n+3 month) $\sum _{i=1}^n\left(a_i\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of IFX.DE stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

IFX.DE Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+3 month)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: IFX.DE Infineon Technologies
Time series to forecast n: 08 Sep 2022 for (n+3 month)

According to price forecasts for (n+3 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold IFX.DE stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%

Conclusions

Infineon Technologies assigned short-term Baa2 & long-term B3 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (DNN Layer) with Wilcoxon Sign-Rank Test^1,2,3,4 and conclude that the IFX.DE stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+3 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold IFX.DE stock.

Financial State Forecast for IFX.DE Stock Options & Futures

Rating	Short-Term	Long-Term Senior
Outlook*	Baa2	B3
Operational Risk	90	51
Market Risk	62	56
Technical Analysis	85	36
Fundamental Analysis	63	41
Risk Unsystematic	84	40

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 78 out of 100 with 466 signals.

References

1. Mikolov T, Chen K, Corrado GS, Dean J. 2013a. Efficient estimation of word representations in vector space. arXiv:1301.3781 [cs.CL]
2. Efron B, Hastie T, Johnstone I, Tibshirani R. 2004. Least angle regression. Ann. Stat. 32:407–99
3. Hartford J, Lewis G, Taddy M. 2016. Counterfactual prediction with deep instrumental variables networks. arXiv:1612.09596 [stat.AP]
4. Imbens G, Wooldridge J. 2009. Recent developments in the econometrics of program evaluation. J. Econ. Lit. 47:5–86
5. Holland PW. 1986. Statistics and causal inference. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 81:945–60
6. Challen, D. W. A. J. Hagger (1983), Macroeconomic Systems: Construction, Validation and Applications. New York: St. Martin's Press.
7. P. Marbach. Simulated-Based Methods for Markov Decision Processes. PhD thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1998

Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for IFX.DE stock?
A: IFX.DE stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (DNN Layer) and Wilcoxon Sign-Rank Test
Q: Is IFX.DE stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold IFX.DE Stock.
Q: Is Infineon Technologies stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for Infineon Technologies is Hold and assigned short-term Baa2 & long-term B3 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of IFX.DE stock?
A: The consensus rating for IFX.DE is Hold.
Q: What is the prediction period for IFX.DE stock?
A: The prediction period for IFX.DE is (n+3 month)